As some may ask, why am I blogging instead of looking after work related to the marriage? Well, we have a ceremony which in Telugu is called pellikodukuni cheyyadam. It
 literally means making/preparing/getting ready the groom. Post this 
apparently I am not allowed to step out of the house. The reaction from 
one of my friends, a girl, was "caged for life". Maybe this internment 
is meant to be a preview of married life ;-)
Now
 moving on, whatever may be its other faults or merits I like the 
present government for its initiatives like MGNREGS, RTI and the bills 
mentioned in the previous post. I commend Manmohan Singh's government 
for having guts, at least in some aspects. The decision to deregulate 
fuel prices, his firm stand against the Left with respect to the 123 
Agreement with the US, and now the decision to allow FDI in the retail 
sector.
I
 have been disenchanted with the right wingers for having been very sore
 losers since the time of UPA 1. They are still intent on disrupting 
proceedings in the Parliament. One good thing wrt the FDI in retail 
decision has been that the FDI limit is 51%.  Management control would 
be with the MNCs but Indian ownership would also be there. Now the 
government has to ensure this does not get diluted via things like cross
 holdings. For eg say Bharti has a tie up with Walmart. Now the 
government has to ensure that Walmart does not get any additional stake 
via a different company in the ownership structure. I do not know 
whether this is even possible, and if it is I am sure this is but one 
way of reducing Indian shareholding. Also another surprise has sprung up
 recently. Apparently there was a clause that 30% of sourcing has to be 
done from the SME segment. Many ministers in the central govt itself 
thought this referred to Indian SMEs. Now it has been clarified that 
these SMEs need not be Indian. I hope no further surprises like these 
spring up.
The
 Indian agricultural supply chain is in sore need of improvement. Every 
year huge quantities of produce go waste simply because there are not 
enough proper storage facilities available. In addition there are a 
large number of middle men between the producer and the consumer. 
Consider a very simplified illustration in the cases of pulses in a city
 like Kolkata. The produce is brought to a place (I think it is called Dal Patti) where some basic processing is involved (removing the husk, splitting the seed etc). Then this is sent to a wholesale market like Posta Bazaar. From here the pulses are bought by retailers 
who in turn sell them to the customers. In this simplified chain itself 
we see three layers between the producer and the consumer (processor, 
wholesaler and retailer). There are brokers at each level to facilitate 
meetings between the buyer  and the seller. Granted there are some good 
aspects. For e.g. the broker in addition to acting as an all-important 
source of contacts also acts as a guarantor for the quality of the 
material. However imagine the increase the price by the time the item 
reaches the consumer. Mega institutions can help cut this number down or
 at least integrate them into a more efficient supply chain (consider 
ITC's e-choupal for instance). This is what India needs today. We have 
crossed the billion figure in our own country and this number is only 
going to increase in the near future. As lots of people George Bush Jr, 
Manmohan Singh et al) have pointed out Indians are demanding more 
nutritious items as part of their diet to our increased purchasing 
capacity. The government has to seriously think about how to feed this 
population. For how long can the RBI address the demand side without the
 government doing enough on the supply side? The agriculture minister 
needs to get cricket out of his head, at least for some time. Money 
attracts politicians like honey for flies but we must remember that flies can cause some serious diseases.
Also why are we so insecure about our domestic players? I believe there were similar fears when India was opened up in 1991. I don't think we are today anywhere close to annihilation as feared by the critics then. In contrast we are looked upon as an emerging economy (or as Obama said as an emerged economy) of great potential. The street-end kiranawalla has the advantages of proximity and familiarity which a modern retail outlet does not have. I am pretty sure that our mom and pop stores can take care of themselves. Anyway in the US I believe these hypermarkets are located in the suburbs and people simply drive down there. This kind of culture is not that prevalent in India, at least today. Imagine a middle class housewife taking a vehicle (bus, two-wheeler whatever) to a hypermarket which is 20 kms from her home, standing in queue and lugging the luggage back all that distance. I am pretty sure she would prefer the local grocery store any day. In India if the hypermarket is to be located in a more accessible location there are property rates to be considered. This might make sense for a clothing store, but would not exactly for a grocery store.
Also why are we so insecure about our domestic players? I believe there were similar fears when India was opened up in 1991. I don't think we are today anywhere close to annihilation as feared by the critics then. In contrast we are looked upon as an emerging economy (or as Obama said as an emerged economy) of great potential. The street-end kiranawalla has the advantages of proximity and familiarity which a modern retail outlet does not have. I am pretty sure that our mom and pop stores can take care of themselves. Anyway in the US I believe these hypermarkets are located in the suburbs and people simply drive down there. This kind of culture is not that prevalent in India, at least today. Imagine a middle class housewife taking a vehicle (bus, two-wheeler whatever) to a hypermarket which is 20 kms from her home, standing in queue and lugging the luggage back all that distance. I am pretty sure she would prefer the local grocery store any day. In India if the hypermarket is to be located in a more accessible location there are property rates to be considered. This might make sense for a clothing store, but would not exactly for a grocery store.
The
 problem in India has been and still is that our implementation leaves 
one wishing for much more. Many schemes might be well intentioned but 
the beneficiaries do end up getting a raw deal, and not rarely (leakage in MNNREGS and the PDS for instance). This has to be kept in mind wrt the FDI in retail decision also.
 
